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Raffle Rules & Odds

Tier 1: Single Ticket: $25 each, providing 1 entry into the autographed Isaac TeSlaa football raffle (single draw, 1 winner) and 1 entry into the Lions vs. Packers tickets raffle.

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Tier 2: Super Pack: Previously eliminated, remains removed.

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Tier 3: Golden Ticket: $250 each, providing 1 entry into the football raffle and 20 entries into the Lions vs. Packers tickets raffle.

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Sales and Entry Breakdown

Single Ticket (Tier 1):  Sales: 300 tickets.  Revenue: 300 × $25 = $7500.  Entries for football raffle: 300 × 1 = 300 entries.  Entries for Lions vs. Packers tickets raffle: 300 × 1 = 300 entries.  

 

Golden Ticket (Tier 3): 

Sales: 100 tickets.  Revenue: 100 × $250 = $25,000.  Entries for football raffle: 100 × 1 = 100 entries.  Entries for Lions vs. Packers tickets raffle: 100 × 20 = 2000 entries.  

 

Total: Revenue:

$7500 + $25,000 = $32,500.  Entries for football raffle: 300 + 100 = 400 (1 winner).  Entries for Lions vs. Packers tickets raffle: 300 + 2000 = 2300 (1 winner, assumed pair of tickets as a single prize).


Winning Ratio:

Football Raffle: Entry ratio 1:1 (Single: Golden), odds ratio 1:1 (1/400 vs. 1/400).​

Tickets Raffle: Entry ratio 1:20 (Single: Golden), odds ratio 1:20 (1/2300 vs. 20/2300).

Raffle Odds Calculation

1.  Autographed Isaac TeSlaa Football Raffle (400 entries, 1 winner):•  Single Ticket Buyer (1 entry):•  Probability:  P = \frac{1}{400} = 0.0025  (0.25%).•  Golden Ticket Buyer (1 entry):•  Probability:  P = \frac{1}{400} = 0.0025  (0.25%).

 

2.  Lions vs. Packers Tickets Raffle

(2300 entries, 1 winner):•  Single Ticket Buyer (1 entry):•  Probability:  P = \frac{1}{2300} \approx 0.000435  (0.0435%).•  Golden Ticket Buyer (20 entries):•  Probability:  P = \frac{20}{2300} = \frac{2}{230} = \frac{1}{115} \approx 0.008696  (0.8696%).

 

 

3.  Overall (Any Prize):

•  Single Ticket:  P(\text{None}) = \frac{399}{400} \times \frac{2299}{2300} \approx 0.997065 , so  P(\text{At least one}) = 1 - 0.997065 \approx 0.002935  (~1 in 341, 0.2935%).•  Golden Ticket:  P(\text{None}) = \frac{399}{400} \times \frac{2280}{2300} \approx 0.988695 , so  P(\text{At least one}) = 1 - 0.988695 \approx 0.011305  (~1 in 88, 1.1305%).

Lottery Odds Comparison

Comparing to Powerball, Mega Millions, and a Michigan scratch-off game for context: [34] [35] [36]

 

1.  Powerball Jackpot:

1 in 292.2 million (0.00034%).•  Match 5: 1 in 11.69 million (0.0086%).•  Any Prize: 1 in 24.87 (4.02%).

 

2.  Mega Millions:

Jackpot: 1 in 302.58 million (0.00033%).•  Match 5: 1 in 12.61 million (0.0079%).•  Any Prize: 1 in 24.0 (4.17%).

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3.  Michigan Scratch-Off:($5–$10 ticket)

Top Prize ($500K): ~1 in 500,000–1,000,000 (0.0001%–0.0002%).•  Mid-tier ($500–$1000): ~1 in 10,000–50,000 (0.01%–0.002%).•  Any Prize: ~1 in 4–5 (20%–25%).

Drawing / Deadline

*Deadline to enter is on October 23rd at 9:00PM

*Drawing is on October 24th

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